To understand Somali issues we must think in a "controversial way" and "Manipulative way of doing POLITICS" taking into account the Long standing "Power Struggle" between different Somali social-political-economic forces using Somali CLANS and Sub-Clans. Some are allied to ETHIOPIA-IGAD Countries like the "Elite Puppet Leaders" specially with ETHIOPIA and SUDAN and Muslim Brotherhood Salafist Business Cartels/Organized crimes/Drug Traffickers ( Read my post "Who are the Business People of Somalia Muslim Brotherhood " and. the post called" For the new PM: Lesson from a recent past"). Others are those I call the CLAN Nationalist and Moderate Islamist- who are not in power but supported by the majority of the people-citizens- who accept RULE of Law and democracy.In the Somali political murky system there is also the Role the so- called International Community which although united under the banner of the UN, AFRICAN UNION-IGAD, EUROPEAN UNION-UK , and USA , others like Arab Nations-I mean Saudi Arabia , Qatar,Abu-Dhabi,Egypt - and TURKEY are all still divided on the so- called "SOMALIA CONFLICT Resolution".The countries members of AU/AMISOM Military contingent everyone has its Policy/Agenda toward SOMALIA as a "new colonizing" power except those countries from the West of Africa.
This short introduction will serve to prepare us on understanding the last "Timeline of events" in Somalia specially the last three months ( when I say Somalia it encompasses all regions- from Ras Kamboni to Ras Asser-including Puntland and SOMALILAND regions, Jubba regions etc) and its repercussions on the "ongoing struggle" for SOMALIA and its "resources like OIL and GAS".
(1) Let me start first with the event of the full recognition by the US government of the Somali Muslim Brotherhood Federal Government and the consequent visit of President Hassan to USA. With the new "US policy" for Muslim Brotherhood Somalia President Hassan met with US Big OIL Companies who are holding the concessional Rights of about 70% of Somali OIL Basins last re-signed in 1989 by the Siad Barre regime.There is the story "making the rounds" that the Somali Minster for OIL and Mineral resources resigned another time those Rights for the US Big Companies. This has great significance for the Sovereignty,Territorial Integrity and Unity of the Somali Federal Republic. The so- called Elite Clan Leaders of Somaliland regions, Puntland regions and even Jubba regions were trying all these years to give new concessional rights for exploration to Chinese,France,Brasil and Italy companies on those old OIL and GAS Basins under the guise of so- called sovereignty of CLAN-ENCLAVES- self declared States- Pseudo Self-Determination Rights.( Read my post OIL and GAS,Mini CLAN ENCLAVES,ETHIOPIA-IGAD HEGEMONY and the post called (" The pseudo Self- Determination Rights of Somali Clan Enclaves" of July 2014).. The US government promised to fully participate in the Institution Building of the Somali Federal State and specially in the rebuilding of the National security services like the Army,Intelligence. and Police. But the most important is the" recognition that Somalia could not be sub-divided in CLAN ENCLAVES based on Sub-Clan Blood Lineage" and . the Sovereignty of Somalia is fully represented by the Somali Federal Republic.My Question is how the US new Policy will be seen by ETHIOPIA and some IGAD countries? They will accept it? What about their local allies the Somali Elite-Clan Puppet Leaders and the Salafist Movement specially the Salafist Business Cartels/Organized crimes groups who control the Economy of all Somalia?
(2) UN Security Council came to Mogadishu in a Historic visit including all 15 members. They met with the Muslim Brotherhood Somali Federal Government including the President,PM and his Cabinet, Somali civil society groups and two of the so-called regional Leaders like the Chairman of Jubba regions and Galmudug.region.
The UN Security Council fully endorsed what the Somali government calls the "NEW VISION PLAN" (benchmarks) which together with UN and IGAD is to remake all the Somali regions- based on the last 18 made by the Siad Barre regime- as a new Institutions made in a new Federated regional governments as a devolution of power and more sharing of National Resources between regions.. This new Plan is made also with the End game of having National and local Elections, presidential, Parliamentary elections including a Referendum for the New Constitution, in all the Somali Republic by Middle 2016. Did the IGAD countries, AMISOM and ETHIOPIA, Elite Clan puppet Leaders,Salafist Movement fully Cooperate with the Re-establishment of the Somali (Federal) Republic? Where all Clans- Communities are Equal in front of the Law, all people-citizens of a country where the Rule of the Law is supreme and the people- citizens elect their own Leaders? I do not believe the ETHIOPIA -IGAD group ha given up its Plans to sub-colonize Somalia and subdivide it in CLAN-ENCLAVES.
The UN Security Council fully endorsed what the Somali government calls the "NEW VISION PLAN" (benchmarks) which together with UN and IGAD is to remake all the Somali regions- based on the last 18 made by the Siad Barre regime- as a new Institutions made in a new Federated regional governments as a devolution of power and more sharing of National Resources between regions.. This new Plan is made also with the End game of having National and local Elections, presidential, Parliamentary elections including a Referendum for the New Constitution, in all the Somali Republic by Middle 2016. Did the IGAD countries, AMISOM and ETHIOPIA, Elite Clan puppet Leaders,Salafist Movement fully Cooperate with the Re-establishment of the Somali (Federal) Republic? Where all Clans- Communities are Equal in front of the Law, all people-citizens of a country where the Rule of the Law is supreme and the people- citizens elect their own Leaders? I do not believe the ETHIOPIA -IGAD group ha given up its Plans to sub-colonize Somalia and subdivide it in CLAN-ENCLAVES.
(3) Mr. DR.Abdiweli Ali Gaas-President of the so- called regional State of Puntland refused to meet the UN Security Council members when they came to Mogadishu and afterwards left for ETHIOPIA for the usual "consultation".He also had a problem with.the Muslim Brotherhood Somali Federal government because "he sees his region as a Clan Enclave which is sovereign State and part of a Confederate Somalia".He would like to have Somalia subdivided in "Would be Con-federal Republic where Puntland region is one of the Constituent States".He got the support of the ETHIOPIA-IGAD group in the Region all this years.How the UN,US EU Turkey,Arab Nations who are those stand for Somali Nationhood and UNITY,Sovereignty will deal with this Clan Enclaves Separatism?.
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